Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.516466 0.596075 0.682907 0.784517 0.900027 1.027120 1.177415
2025-07-27 0.392957 0.504199 0.637607 0.808750 1.021790 1.277515 1.606951
2025-08-03 0.317365 0.440565 0.599023 0.816400 1.105274 1.474198 1.979001
2025-08-10 0.262885 0.389703 0.562558 0.813113 1.164279 1.635745 2.312753
2025-08-17 0.220678 0.346728 0.527549 0.802589 1.206291 1.772135 2.618919
2025-08-24 0.188492 0.312258 0.498216 0.793600 1.245423 1.903382 2.924561
2025-08-31 0.158898 0.276759 0.461745 0.767760 1.254167 1.987974 3.165724
2025-09-07 0.148613 0.270331 0.468700 0.808486 1.366554 2.234107 3.666540
2025-09-14 0.128112 0.243679 0.439428 0.786843 1.376703 2.321847 3.927447
2025-09-21 0.110929 0.220253 0.412396 0.765147 1.383220 2.402251 4.180307
2025-09-28 0.097098 0.200896 0.389878 0.748169 1.394924 2.490302 4.450147
2025-10-05 0.089892 0.193031 0.386869 0.765104 1.466225 2.682360 4.907110
2025-10-12 0.085838 0.191067 0.394970 0.803989 1.581635 2.961480 5.539424
2025-10-19 0.080290 0.185354 0.395335 0.828433 1.673074 3.206203 6.131275
2025-10-26 0.073554 0.176153 0.387667 0.836226 1.733441 3.399051 6.643468
2025-11-02 0.066531 0.165275 0.375215 0.832863 1.771378 3.552589 7.093360
2025-11-09 0.059682 0.153772 0.360041 0.822102 1.793254 3.676847 7.496340
2025-11-16 0.053766 0.143565 0.346390 0.812910 1.817023 3.805696 7.916041
2025-11-23 0.047256 0.130932 0.325838 0.786486 1.802374 3.857729 8.189231
2025-11-30 0.046151 0.131641 0.335643 0.828131 1.935013 4.211848 9.082834
2025-12-07 0.041000 0.121162 0.318131 0.806000 1.927807 4.281671 9.409023
2025-12-14 0.036432 0.111510 0.301409 0.783814 1.918186 4.345177 9.725640
2025-12-21 0.032632 0.103363 0.287384 0.766451 1.917620 4.427115 10.085274